Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.000842 0.000959 0.001082 0.001223 0.001377 0.001540 0.001726
2025-02-23 0.000654 0.000815 0.000998 0.001218 0.001475 0.001762 0.002107
2025-03-02 0.000561 0.000744 0.000960 0.001231 0.001558 0.001936 0.002404
2025-03-09 0.000468 0.000659 0.000893 0.001197 0.001577 0.002031 0.002606
2025-03-16 0.000396 0.000589 0.000834 0.001165 0.001589 0.002108 0.002783
2025-03-23 0.000349 0.000545 0.000804 0.001162 0.001634 0.002224 0.003005
2025-03-30 0.000311 0.000508 0.000777 0.001161 0.001677 0.002336 0.003222
2025-04-06 0.000274 0.000470 0.000746 0.001148 0.001703 0.002424 0.003409
2025-04-13 0.000240 0.000431 0.000709 0.001126 0.001713 0.002488 0.003565
2025-04-20 0.000223 0.000416 0.000706 0.001149 0.001784 0.002635 0.003831
2025-04-27 0.000205 0.000400 0.000698 0.001164 0.001843 0.002766 0.004078
2025-05-04 0.000183 0.000372 0.000672 0.001149 0.001859 0.002836 0.004243
2025-05-11 0.000161 0.000343 0.000642 0.001129 0.001866 0.002897 0.004399
2025-05-18 0.000148 0.000330 0.000634 0.001141 0.001921 0.003025 0.004652
2025-05-25 0.000136 0.000315 0.000624 0.001148 0.001968 0.003142 0.004889
2025-06-01 0.000118 0.000288 0.000591 0.001118 0.001956 0.003174 0.005007
2025-06-08 0.000102 0.000263 0.000559 0.001087 0.001940 0.003199 0.005115
2025-06-15 0.000092 0.000249 0.000546 0.001084 0.001969 0.003289 0.005316
2025-06-22 0.000084 0.000236 0.000533 0.001083 0.001999 0.003380 0.005520
2025-06-29 0.000075 0.000222 0.000515 0.001071 0.002012 0.003446 0.005687
2025-07-06 0.000065 0.000205 0.000493 0.001050 0.002007 0.003484 0.005816
2025-07-13 0.000062 0.000201 0.000495 0.001072 0.002075 0.003634 0.006110
2025-07-20 0.000058 0.000196 0.000493 0.001086 0.002129 0.003763 0.006376